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UFC fight night: Vettori vs. Cannonier is going on this Saturday (June 17th) from the APEX facility in Las Vegas, with top-ranked middleweights, Marvin Vettori and Jared Cannonier, getting the showcase opportunity in the main event. These two have been on a collision course for some time now, with the #3 ranked Vettori and the #4 ranked Cannonier having only lost to Israel Adesanya and Robert Whittaker in recent years. Before they go at it, let’s go take a look at what the betting odds have to say about this one.
The betting line is pretty tight here. Vettori is holding on to a small favored position of -125, with Cannonier not too far off with an underdog tag of +105. Some betting sites actually offer Cannonier at a minus line. Bettors would definitely want to steer clear of that, however, the same place will also have Marvin available with a little more value due to a little less juice.
Check out the UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier betting odds
Courtesy of BestFightOdds
Proposition bets
A finish here would be lovely, but that really does feel unlikely. Both men are simply hard to kill. Sure, Cannonier has been finished back when he was fighting giants in heavier weight classes, but at 185-pounds? He’s been rock solid. And Vettori has always been tougher than a $2 steak. The man has NEVER been finished! Not only that, but Marvin has gone the distance in 12 of his 14 UFC appearances. Unless something out of character happens, like Marvin’s durability going out the window or him finding a sudden surge in power, I just don’t believe that either man will get finished.
Because of that, the prop bet for this one reaching the judges holds a much smaller favored line than what I was expecting. In my opinion there’s some value in the ‘Fight goes to decision’ bet that’s trending at -170. On the flipside of that there’s a +130 comeback on the ‘Fight doesn’t go to decision’ option. Even the ‘Over 4½ rounds’ proposition is rocking a strongly favored moneyline of -210, with the ‘Under 4½ rounds’ wager on deck at +155.
Who wins the UFC fight night main event?
Vettori has the volume edge, while Cannonier possesses the power advantage. Of course there are many layers to this delicious mma cake, but those appear to be the most glaring trump cards on the table. That honestly could make for some extremely close, and hard to judge, rounds. Add in a potential point-deduction for whatever fouls may occur, and we could easily have a draw (+5000) on our hands. Plus, look at that horrific scoring in the fourth round of the Kai Kara-France vs. Amir Albazi UFC fight night main event earlier this month. Nothing is certain.
All things considered, I have to lean towards the side of the striking power of Cannonier. To be quite frank, when it comes to the standup, he might also hold the technical advantage over Vettori, too. If a finish does miraculously manifest, then I have to pick Jared to be the one to do so. Otherwise, the ‘Cannonier wins by decision’ bet at +300 is awfully tempting. If you’re siding with the volume striking with some mixed in grappling, then there’s ‘Vettori wins by decision’ at a mere +100. As you can see, it’s pretty clear who Vegas is taking by decision.
Full UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier fight card
Main card
- Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier: Middleweight
- Arman Tsarukyan vs. Joaquim Silva: Lightweight
- Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Armen Petrosyan: Middleweight
- Pat Sabatini vs. Lucas Almeida: Featherweight
- Nikolas Motta vs. Manuel Torres: Lightweight
- Muslim Salikhov vs. Nicolas Dalby: Welterweight
Prelims
- Raoni Barcelos vs. Miles Johns: Bantamweight
- Jimmy Flick vs. Alessandro Costa: Flyweight
- Kyung Ho Kang vs. Cristian Quiñonez: Bantamweight
- Carlos Hernandez vs. Denys Bondar: Flyweight
- Zhalgas Zhumagulov vs. Felipe Bunes: Flyweight
- Tereza Bledá vs. Gabriella Fernandes: Flyweight
- Ronnie Lawrence vs. Daniel Argueta: Bantamweight
- Modestas Bukauskas vs. Zac Pauga: Light Heavyweight
*Do you or someone you know have a gambling addiction? Get help by contacting The National Council on Problem Gambling at 1-800-522-4700.
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