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We are back in the UFC APEX tonight with UFC Fight Night: Kai Kara-France vs. Amir Albazi. The Bloody Elbow staffers have made their picks for the fights (and most believe Kara-France wins in the main event). But now it’s time for the fine folks who subscribe to our Substack to have their say. Spoiler alert: They also think Kara-France takes it here.
This week we have extra analysis from Tommy, who went 10-2 with his picks for UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill.
Reader picks are an exclusive perk for Substack subscribers. If you haven’t already, please subscribe to the Bloody Elbow Substack. Paid subscriptions on Substack are the best way to support Bloody Elbow and make sure we can keep doing what we’re doing. In addition to making reader picks (which could earn prizes), paid subscribers also receive premium content directly in their email inboxes. That premium content includes editorials by Karim Zidan and Jonathan Snowden and investigative pieces from John S. Nash.
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi reader picks
Kai Kara-France (54.5%) vs. Amir Albazi (45.5%)

Reader pick: Kai Kara-France.
Tommy: Like Kai Kara-France here. Close fight to start with, but Kara-France overwhelms him winning by KO.
Alex Caceres (72.7%) vs. Daniel Pineda (27.3%)

Reader pick: Alex Caceres.
Tommy: Always seem to lose when I bet against Caceres, so I’ll go Caceres by decision.
Tim Elliott (63.6%) vs. Victor Altamirano (36.4%)

Reader Pick: Tim Elliott.
Tommy: If Elliott’s head is right then he should win this comfortably. It’s a tricky one, but I’ll go Elliot by decision.
Karine Silva (81.8%) vs. Kelten Souza (18.2%)

Reader Pick: Karine Silva.
Tommy: Silva will have too much for her think. Silva wins by submission.
Elizeu Zaleski (18.2%) vs. Abubakar Nurmagomedov (81.2%)

Reader Pick: Abubakar Nurmagomedov.
Tommy: 50/50 this one. Zaleski has the power. Nurmagomedov has better wrestling. I’m gonna go with the wrestler Nurmagomedov by decision.
John Castaneda (36.4%) vs. Muin Gafurov (63.6%)

Reader Pick: Muin Gafurov.
Tommy: If Gafurov’s gas tank holds out, I think he wins this by wrestling and grinding himself to a decision win.
Andrei Arlovski (72.2%) vs. Don’Tale Mayes (18.2%)

Reader Pick: Andrei Arlovski.
Tommy: Not particularly excited with this match-up. Gonna go Arlovski to outwork Mayes for a decision win.
Daniel Santos (72.7%) vs. Johnny Munoz Jr. (27.3%)

Reader Pick: Daniel Santos.
Tommy: Could be a great fight this one. Tricky one to call I think Santos has the power to end it. Santos by KO.
Jinh Yu Frey (18.2%) vs. Elise Reed (81.8%)

Reader Pick: Elise Reed.
Tommy: Elise will dominate this one think she wins by TKO, round two.
Luan Lacerda (100%) vs. Da’Mon Blackshear (0%)

Reader Pick: Luan Lacerda.
Tommy: Could be a good fight this one. I just think Lucerda will win this by takedowns and control time. Lucerda by decision.
Maxim Grishin (54.5%) vs. Philipe Lins (45.5%)

Reader Pick: Maxim Grishin.
Tommy: Gonna go for the slight underdog on this one. Grishin is the more polished fighter, but Lins will catch him with a haymaker. Lins by KO.
Who wins a Performance of the Night Award?

Tommy: Daniel Santos will put on a masterclass for the KO. Kai Kara-France will also look back to his brilliant best.
Which fight wins Fight of the Night?

Tommy: Santos vs. Munoz Jr. should be a great fight. Could go either way, but Santos ends it by KO.
Which fight are you most excited for?

Tommy: Kai Kara France vs Amir Albazi. Big step up for Albazi, but should be a good fight while it lasts.
Leader board
Christophe is in first position with just a single pick advantage over Adam Law (both of those have picks on for UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi). At UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill they both scored 7-5 records, like everyone else in the top five.
Position | Community Member | Correct | Incorrect | Total Picks | % | Week 10 Record | Bonus Points |
1 | Christophe | 71 | 47 | 118 | 0.602 | 7-5 | 4 |
2 | Adam Law | 70 | 47 | 117 | 0.598 | 7-5 | 4 |
3 | Jeremy | 63 | 55 | 118 | 0.534 | 7-5 | 6 |
4 | GirlCasual | 63 | 55 | 118 | 0.534 | 7-5 | 5 |
5 | ZeistPriest | 61 | 47 | 108 | 0.565 | 7-5 | 3 |
6 | Just Simon | 58 | 59 | 117 | 0.496 | 6-6 | 4 |
7 | Luke G | 55 | 51 | 106 | 0.519 | 6-6 | 5 |
8 | NickyBonz | 53 | 40 | 93 | 0.570 | 8-4 | 4 |
9 | BearHands | 50 | 45 | 95 | 0.526 | 8-4 | 5 |
10 | Sensei Scott | 49 | 58 | 107 | 0.458 | 7-5 | 3 |
11 | Mark S | 45 | 51 | 96 | 0.469 | 0-0 | 5 |
12 | DJNi | 34 | 33 | 45 | 0.756 | 8-4 | 4 |
13 | mklip2001 | 31 | 31 | 62 | 0.500 | 6-6 | 6 |
14 | Fishtown Simon | 30 | 20 | 50 | 0.600 | 0-0 | 3 |
15 | Tommy | 30 | 18 | 48 | 0.625 | 10-2 | 1 |
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