UFC Vegas 73 picks, odds, & analysis

UFC Vegas 73: Mackenzie Dern vs Angela Hill is the latest APEX card. BE Fight Analyists, Zane Simon & Connor Ruebusch are here to break down every bout.

By: June M. Williams | 2 weeks ago
UFC Vegas 73 picks, odds, & analysis
April 8, 2022, Jacksonville, Florida, JACKSONVILLE, FL, United States: JACKSONVILLE, FL - April 8: Mackenzie Dern steps on the scale for the official weigh-in at Hyatt Regency Riverfront for UFC 273 - Volkanovski vs The Korean - Official Weigh-ins on April 8, 2022 in Jacksonville, Florida, United States. Jacksonville, Florida United States - ZUMAp175 20220408_zsa_p175_059 Copyright: xLouisxGrassex

It may not be a headliner that draws many eyes, but UFC Vegas 73: Dern vs. Hill is a surprisingly alright offering from the UFC this week. The main event features two top ranked strawweights looking to reassert their claim to a spot among the division’s elite, and it should make for an interesting style clash. Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Anthony Hernandez is a quality test of still young middleweight prospects. And Andre Fialho vs. Joaquin Buckly should be fireworks for as long as it lasts. The UFC’s certainly made worse cards.

This week’s UFC Vegas 73: Dern vs. Hill prelims offering has a couple strong bookings. Maheshate vs. Borshchev looks like a slugfest from start to finish, and Vanessa Demopoulos has looked strong in her recent winning run. Chase Hooper will be worth watching up in his new division, and Natalia Silva has the appearance of a future flyweight contender in what’s essentially a showcase fight against Victoria Leonardo. Exactly the kind of fights we should be getting on the prelims of a smaller event.

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Your Official & Honorary MMA Vivisection Fight Analysts

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The UFC Vegas 73 Fight Night: Dern vs Hill edition of The MMA Vivisection is brought to you by ‘The Fine Art of Violence’, a collection of art and essays recapping the year in MMA by our Bloody Elbow Art Director: Chris Rini, featuring the most talented artists and writers in Mixed Martial Arts. The book is available in both hard copy and digital formats at chrisrini.com.

UFC Vegas73 Fight Night: Mackenzie Dern vs. Angela Hill Fight Card

Here’s a look at the UFC Vegas 73 card, as it stood at the time of recording:


BOUTDivisionZane PicksConnor PicksStartOdds
12. Mackenzie Dern (12-3) vs. Angela Hill(15-12)Strawweight (W)DERNHILL8:3032:43
11. Edmen Shahbazyan (12-3) vs. Anthony Hernandez (10-2) MIddleweightHernandezShahbazyan33:2043:02
10. Emily Ducote (12-7) vs. Lupita Godinez (9-3)Strawweight (W)DucoteDucote43:2354:19
9. Andre Fialho (16-6) vs. Joaquin Buckley (15-6)WelterweightBuckleyBuckley54:481:03:14
8. Michael Johnson (21-18) vs. Diego Ferreira (17-5)LightweightFerreiraFerreira1:03:421:09:14
BONUS CONTENT — Review of UFC on ABC 4: Rozenstruik vs Almeida — At 1:09:48


BOUTDivisionZane PicksConnor PicksStartOdds
7. Maheshate (9-2) vs. Viacheslav Borshchev (6-3)LightweightMaheshateBorshchev1:229:16
6. Carolina Kowalkiewicz (14-7) vs. Vanessa Demopoulos (9-4)StrawweightDemopoulosKowalkiewicz10:2017:19
5. Orion Cosce (8-1) vs. Gilbert Urbina (6-2)WelterweightCosceCosce20:2127:30
4. Ili Latifi (16-8) vs. Rodrigo Nascimento (9-1)HeavyweightLatifiLatifi28:0333:24
3. Chase Hooper (11-3-1) vs. Nick Fiore (6-1)FeatherweightHooperHooper33:4940:20
2. Victoria Leonardo (9-4) vs. Natália Silva (14-5)Flyweight (W)SilvaSilva41:3043:30
1. Takashi Sato (16-6) vs. Themba Gorimbo (10-4)WelterweightGorimboGorimbo44:5251:10
BONUS CONTENT — Review of UFC on ABC 4: Rozenstruik vs Almeida — At 51:32

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Follow Zane @TheZaneSimon & Connor @BoxingBusch; follow us as @BloodyElbow on twitterfacebookinstagram, and at BloodyElbow.Substack.com & BloodyElbowPodcast.Substack.com.

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Vivi Picks Stats

For those of you following the picks made on the show, we started tracking them in early 2020. So far, here are the overall standings:

Time SpanZane’s Pick RecordConnor’s Pick RecordZane’s Pick %Connor’s Pick %
UFC on ABC 4: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida5/116/1146%55%
Early 2020 — UFC on ABC 4, May 2023919/1450882/145063%61%
2023 Overall Stats107/197105/19754%54%
2022 Overall Stats331/505312/50566%62%
2021 Overall Stats305/493295/49362%60%
2020 Incomplete Stats*176/255170/25569%67%
* We will be filling in our missing event stats for 2020 this Spring/Summer

Reference Vivi Picks Stats Spreadsheets:

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Join us for our next event

The next event after UFC on ABC 4 Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs Almeida, will be UFC Vegas 73, which is of course broadcasting from the APEX Facility in Las Vegas, Nevada. Our main event had been slotted to be Raquel Pennington vs. Irene Aldana; however, Aldana was rebooked to face Amanda Nunes in place of Juliana Peña at UFC 289. The headliner for UFC Vegas 73 is now booked as Mackenzie Dern vs. Angela Hill, which had previously been slotted for this weekend’s main card.

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About the author
June M. Williams
June M. Williams

June M. Williams is the Bloody Elbow Production Manager & Ombudsperson, as well as our Podcast Syndicator. She is also an acting author, editor & lead fixer for Bloody Elbow. She began work for the Combat Sports Division of SB Nation in 2010, making BE her primary home since 2013.

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