Tommy Toehold’s UFC 199 picks & predictions

It’s finally here. Fight day. UFC 199. So much has been made of UFC 200, that this event has been coasting well below a…

By: Stephie Haynes | 7 years ago
Tommy Toehold’s UFC 199 picks & predictions
Bloody Elbow 2.0 | Anton Tabuena

It’s finally here. Fight day. UFC 199. So much has been made of UFC 200, that this event has been coasting well below a fever pitch, despite the fact that it’s a great card. Yeah, we lost Weidman from the festivities, but we gained something important, Michael Bisping’s first title shot. At 37-years-of-age and after more than a decade in the UFC, the day has finally arrived.

Another title is also on the line, the rubber match between Urijah Faber and Dominick Cruz. Faber also clocks in at 37, and has a metric ton of experience coming with it. There are great prospect vs. prospect bouts, as well. Tom Breese vs. Sean Strickland is a welterweight fight should position the winner for the beginning of a title climb. Seriously, if you really look at this card, it’s a winner.

You know what else is a winner? Tommy Toehold videos. Especially when he’s having those rare moments of mental clarity and lucidity, where he gets down to business and makes legit fight predictions. For a guy that spends most of his days staring at the bottom of an ACME Whiskey bottle somewhere in Toontown, these moments are to be celebrated.

This week, Toehold gives another solid round of fight picks for every bout on the card. The best part about his predictions is that they come in neat, 5-minute packages. To get you started, I’ve got his picks for the main and co-main events transcribed and ready to rock. FYI, Tommy is pretty accurate, so this video is definitely worth the watch.

“In the co-main event we have Dominick Cruz taking on Urijah Faber. This is the third bout between the two of them. Faber got the better of Cruz in their first meeting via first round submission. Cruz won a decision in their second bout. I think this is Cruz’s fight to lose. His footwork is some straight up Matrix shit and he has a very low rate of absorbed strikes. He also has great takedown defense and Faber is going to need to get him to the ground to win. Barring an early sub by Faber before Cruz gets into a rhythm I think the champ retains via decision.

In the main event we have Luke Rockhold taking on Michael Bisping. Talk about mother fuckers not getting hit, Rockhold has an absorbed strikes per minute rate of 1.99. That is just crazy. These two have already met and the outcome was a second round submission win for Rockhold. I see this one going very similarly. Bisping is a tough out for anyone, but Rockhold is truly elite and I don’t foresee him making a mistake like he did in the Belfort bout. He’s been finishing everyone since that loss and this will not be any different. Rockhold via submission, possibly early.”

RIP Muhammad Ali

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Stephie Haynes
Stephie Haynes

Stephie Haynes has been covering MMA since 2005. She has also worked for MMA promotion Proelite and apparel brand TapouT. She hosted TapouT’s official radio show for four years before joining Bloody Elbow in 2012. She has interviewed everyone there is to interview in the fight game from from Dana White to Conor McGregor to Kimbo Slice, as well as mainstream TV, film and music stars including Norman Reedus, RZA and Anthony Bourdain. She has been producing the BE podcast network since 2017 and hosts four of its current shows.

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